| Sportsbook Wire
The Toronto Raptors (2-6) play their third game of a four-game road trip Sunday and visit the Golden State Warriors (5-4) at Chase Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Raptors-Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Warriors are playing their sixth game of a seven-game homestand which began Jan. 1. They’re 3-2 over the stretch thus far, including a 115-105 win over the Los Angeles Clippers to split a two-game set against the Western Conference rivals.
The Raptors snapped a three-game slide with a 144-123 beat down of the Sacramento Kings Friday. They had lost seven of their previous eight games. They’ll get right back to it Monday against the Portland Trail Blazers.
Raptors at Warriors: Betting odds, spread and lines
- Money line : Raptors -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Warriors +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS : Raptors -3.5 (-105) | Warriors +3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under : 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Raptors at Warriors: Key Injuries
- PF MarqueseChriss (leg) out
- C Kevon Looney (hip) questionable
- SG Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out
- SG Andrew Wiggins (foot) questionable
None affecting betting lines.
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Raptors at Warriors: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Warriors 123, Raptors 117
Money line (ML)
This feels like a trap, but WARRIORS (+125) seems like a gift. The Raptors were mired in an awful stretch of basketball before hanging a franchise-record 144 points on the Kings. That’s more of an indictment on Sacramento, with the Kings also losing 125-99 at home to the Trail Blazers Saturday.
The Warriors have a much better record on the season and are coming off a superior performance in a 10-point win over the Clippers. Rest is equal for both teams.
The Raptors lead the NBA in 3-point attempts per game (42.9) but are just 17th in success rate from behind the arc (36.2%). If those shots don’t fall against the Warriors and PG Stephen Curry, Toronto doesn’t have the interior presence to contend against Warriors PF Draymond Green and rookie C James Wiseman.
Against the spread (ATS)
The money line is a high-confidence play and offers the superior plus-money payout, but the WARRIORS +3.5 (-115) should also be backed with 3 points of insurance in the event of a loss in what could turn into a 3-point shootout.
Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in rebounding, and only one team commits more fouls per game than both the Raptors and Warriors. They’re both in the top third of the Association in free-throw shooting and in the top-12 in turnovers per game.
Take the OVER 232.5 (-115) as a partial hedge against our other bets against the Raptors. They’re 5-3 against the O/U on the year, but their reliance on the 3-ball is the greatest factor contributing to that record.
The Warriors rank second-to-last in defending threes with opponents hitting on 40.2% of attempts. If Raptors Gs Kyle Lowry (8.0 3-point attempts per game) and Fred VanVleet (9.1 3PA) are connecting Sunday, then they could win and cover, and will certainly carry this over the projected total.
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