Friday, February 26, 2021
Sacramento Kings at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and prediction

Sacramento Kings at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and prediction

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Esten McLaren, Sportsbook Wire
Published 12:03 p.m. ET Jan. 29, 2021 | Updated 12:05 p.m. ET Jan. 29, 2021

The Toronto Raptors (7-11) host the Sacramento Kings (7-10) at their 2020-21 season home of Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., Friday. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kings-Raptors NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kings at Raptors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Kings +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Raptors -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Kings +5.5 (-110) | Raptors -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under : 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Raptors: Key injuries

Kings

  • PF Nemanja Bjelica (back) doubtful

Raptors

  • SF OG Anunoby (calf) questionable

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Kings at Raptors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Raptors 116, Kings 107

Money line (ML)

Both teams last played Wednesday with the Kings routing the Orlando Magic 121-107, and the Raptors falling by a 115-108 count at home against the Milwaukee Bucks. It was the second straight loss for the Raps, while the Kings have won back-to-back games following a four-game losing skid.

These teams played Jan. 8, with Toronto winning 144-123 in Sactown. The Raptors went 20-for-39 from 3-point range and hit 58.2% of free-goal attempts in the 21-point victory. They outscored the Kings 73-49 in the second half and were led by a game-high 34 points from G Fred VanVleet.

The shooting performances weren’t much of a fluke. The Kings are last in the NBA in both field-goal and 3-point defense, while the Raptors’ 43.2 3-point attempts per game lead the Association, and they hit at the eighth-best rate in basketball.

Given the steep price, we’ll PASS on the money line and back Toronto on the spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

Back the RAPTORS -5.5 (-110) to win by at least 6 points after they dropped the Kings by 21 points in their first head-to-head meeting of the season. There’ll be plenty of clean looks for the Raptors’ 3-point shooters once again. The Kings are ninth in team 3-point percentage and 10th in field-goal percentage, but they’re just 27th in free-throw shooting while the Raptors are sixth.

The teams are evenly matched on the glass but Toronto is much better at forcing turnovers (16.8 per game). If Toronto is able to build a lead, it’s set up well to protect it against Sacramento.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both teams are in the top half of the league in pace (possessions per game). Toronto is 17th in offensive rating and 11th in defensive rating. Sacramento is 11th in offensive rating and 30th in defensive rating. Both teams are at relatively full health.

Take the UNDER 229.5 (-110). Neither head coach should want an all-out shootout as seen in the first meeting. We can also expect some shooting regression from Toronto from its all-out blitz from beyond the arc on the road.

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