NBA Outlook: Bet on the Toronto Raptors to Win the Championship at 100/1, 1%…Projected to Finish Ahead of Nets

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#14 best). They win the championship in 2.4% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. They are also a good bet to win the East at 25/1, 3.8%. Their sim chance is 8%. The Raptors are averaging 46.6 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 46.5 wins. At -450 the Raptors are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.9% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/1, 12.5%. They win the division in 11.6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports’ Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 55.2-26.8. They were not good against the spread going 37-44-1 (-1140 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 35 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the New Orleans Pelicans. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENT SIM% H2H WL H2H ATS H2H OU
10/22 NO 67% 1-1 1-1 2-0
10/25 BOS 40% 2-2 2-2 3-1
10/26 CHI 70% 4-0 2-2 1-3
10/28 ORL 62% 6-3 4-5 2-7
10/30 DET 67% 0-3 0-3 2-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.6% (#5 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.4 true FG% (#3 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.5 per game (#17 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.5 per game (#7 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Kyle Lowry who is projected to be the #14 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYER OWN% RANK BETTER OPTION BETTER THAN
Kyle Lowry 92 14 DeMar DeRozan Ja Morant
Marc Gasol 87 6 Andre Drummond Al Horford
Pascal Siakam 94 12 Draymond Green Paul George
Serge Ibaka 88 35 Andrew Wiggins Paul Millsap
Fred VanVleet 54 55 Darius Garland Spencer Dinwiddie
OG Anunoby 15 68 DeMarre Carroll Mario Hezonja
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 19 74 Marcus Morris Davis Bertans
Stanley Johnson 13 96 Alfonzo McKinnie Noah Vonleh
Norman Powell 2 99 Dorian Finney-Smith Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Patrick McCaw 0 125 Cheick Diallo Gorgui Dieng