NBA Outlook: Bet on the Toronto Raptors to Win the Championship at 100/1, 1%…Projected to Finish Ahead of 76ers

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#13 best). They are a good bet to win the championship (2.8 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the East at 30/1, 3.2%. Their sim chance is 9.2%. They are projected to win 51 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs. Their chances of winning their division stand at 34.7%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports’ Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 4.8-3.2. They are beating expectations with their 6-2 record. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up 73 units. They are 5-3 against the spread for a 170 profit. Their over-under record is 4-4. Based on last season’s game odds they ‘should have had’ 55.2 wins. Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were not good against the spread going 37-44-1 (-1140 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 35 times. In their next game vs the Lakers they are only winning 26% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENT SIM% H2H WL H2H ATS H2H OU
11/10 LAL 26% 2-0 2-0 0-2
11/11 LAC 32% 2-0 2-0 1-1
11/13 POR 41% 1-1 0-2 2-0
11/16 DAL 66% 2-0 0-2 2-0
11/18 CHA 73% 1-2 1-2 2-0-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 59.7% (#1 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 51.3 true FG% (#3 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.2 per game (#20 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.6 per game (#24 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Pascal Siakam who is projected to be the #8 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYER OWN% RANK BETTER OPTION BETTER THAN
Pascal Siakam 100 8 Blake Griffin Jimmy Butler
Kyle Lowry 100 16 Malcolm Brogdon Ja Morant
Fred VanVleet 98 35 Buddy Hield Jaylen Brown
Marc Gasol 88 18 Jonas Valanciunas Deandre Ayton
OG Anunoby 89 44 Robert Covington Jabari Parker
Serge Ibaka 83 54 John Collins Larry Nance
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 2 76 Kyle Anderson Dorian Finney-Smith
Norman Powell 13 90 Taj Gibson Ersan Ilyasova
Matt Thomas 0 122 Frank Jackson JaKarr Sampson
Terence Davis 1 133 Matthew Dellavedova Ryan Arcidiacono