SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#13 best). They are a good bet to win the championship (2.8 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the East at 30/1, 3.2%. Their sim chance is 9.2%. They are projected to win 51 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs. Their chances of winning their division stand at 34.7%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 4.8-3.2. They are beating expectations with their 6-2 record. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up 73 units. They are 5-3 against the spread for a 170 profit. Their over-under record is 4-4. Based on last season’s game odds they ‘should have had’ 55.2 wins. Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were not good against the spread going 37-44-1 (-1140 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 35 times. In their next game vs the Lakers they are only winning 26% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 59.7% (#1 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 51.3 true FG% (#3 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.2 per game (#20 in league).
TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.6 per game (#24 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Pascal Siakam who is projected to be the #8 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Pascal Siakam||100||8||Blake Griffin||Jimmy Butler|
|Kyle Lowry||100||16||Malcolm Brogdon||Ja Morant|
|Fred VanVleet||98||35||Buddy Hield||Jaylen Brown|
|Marc Gasol||88||18||Jonas Valanciunas||Deandre Ayton|
|OG Anunoby||89||44||Robert Covington||Jabari Parker|
|Serge Ibaka||83||54||John Collins||Larry Nance|
|Rondae Hollis-Jefferson||2||76||Kyle Anderson||Dorian Finney-Smith|
|Norman Powell||13||90||Taj Gibson||Ersan Ilyasova|
|Matt Thomas||0||122||Frank Jackson||JaKarr Sampson|
|Terence Davis||1||133||Matthew Dellavedova||Ryan Arcidiacono|