by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Toronto Maple Leafs are in more of a game rhythm than their opponent right now, which might have more sway over an early-season matchup than the long-term trends.
The Maple Leafs are -155 home favourites against the +135 underdog Winnipeg Jets with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is 5-2 in its last seven games against Winnipeg and the total has gone OVER in 14 of the last 17 games at online betting sites in this all-Canadian matchup.
Jets vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
However, the Maple Leafs are 4-8 over 12 home games as a favourite of -150 or deeper into minus money, with the total finishing OVER in three of those four contests. Winnipeg, which is coming off of a three-day break, has a 2-6 record over its last eight games as an underdog.
The Jets, who will have the tight turnaround before visiting the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday, are 6-3 in their last nine games when they were also slated to play the next day.
The Jets are 1-0-0, but have not played since their season opener on January 14. They are just 4-4-1 in their last nine games after a three-day break, and lost a day of practice on Saturday after potential COVID-19 exposure. Led by center Mark Scheifele and right wing Patrik Laine, Winnipeg earned 52.7 percent of five-on-five shot attempts in its outing against the Calgary Flames, while Natural Stat Trick credited the Jets with a 9-4 edge in high-danger chances.
The Jets could be thinned-out defensively as Dylan DeMelo (personal) is questionable to play while Tucker Poolman (COVID-19 protocol) will be sidelined. Winnipeg’s power play was one-for-four in that sole game, while the penalty killing unit went 2-for-3.
Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck has a 3-3-1 record with a 3.40 goals-against average and .893 save percentage in eight career games against Toronto.
The Maple Leafs are 2-1-0 as they embark on their fourth game in six nights. While it is a small sample size, Toronto has generated 57.3 percent of the five-on-five shot attempts in its three games, but Natural Stat Trick’s numbers say they have generated only 43.75 percent of the high-danger chances.
Limiting the damage against the opportunistic Jets will be a main concern. Center Auston Matthews is still seeking his first even-strength goal this season even though he has had a team-high 14 scoring chances, but he is one of four Leafs forwards – along with Mitchell Marner, William Nylander and John Tavares – with at least two even-strength points.
Toronto is off to a hot start on the power play, scoring on 38.5 percent of their extra-skater chances, while the penalty killing unit is operating at 76.9 percent efficiency.
Frederik Andersen is off to a slow start, but the veteran Leafs goalie is 9-0-2 with a 2.84 GAA and .910 save percentage in 12 career games against Winnipeg. Backup Jack Campbell has a 1-2-1 record with a 2.01 GAA and .942 save percentage in four career games against Winnipeg.
The Maple Leafs’ three-game home stretch also includes matchups against the Edmonton Oilers on Wednesday and Friday.