Celtics vs. Raptors odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Jan. 4 predictions from model on 62-36 roll

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The Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors square off on Monday evening in a matchup between returning playoff teams from the Eastern Conference. The Celtics knocked off the Raptors in the 2020 NBA Playoffs, and Boston is off to a 4-3 start this season. Toronto has struggled out of the gate, losing four of the first five contests this season. Kemba Walker (knee) remains sidelined for the Celtics, and Patrick McCaw (knee) is out for the Raptors.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Tampa. William Hill Sportsbook lists Toronto as a three-point home favorite, up half a point from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215 in the latest Celtics vs. Raptors odds. Before locking in any Raptors vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 62-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,200 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Raptors. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for Raptors vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Raptors spread: Raptors -3
  • Celtics vs. Raptors over-under: 215 points
  • Celtics vs. Raptors money line: Raptors -160; Celtics +140
  • BOS: The Celtics are 3-4 against the spread in 2020-21
  • TOR: The Raptors are 1-4 against the spread this season

Latest Odds:

Toronto Raptors
-4

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is a potent offensive team, scoring nearly 1.12 points per possession this season. That offensive efficiency ranks in the top ten of the NBA, and Boston is also a top-eight team in both effective field goal percentage (55.5 percent) and offensive rebound rate (29.2 percent). The Raptors have few weaknesses defensively, but Toronto is grabbing only 69.1 percent of missed shots by their opponents, which could open the door for Boston on the offensive glass. 

Defensively, Boston is off to a slow start, but they were an elite group last season with similar personnel. The Celtics are also creating havoc at a high level, forcing a turnover on 16.2 percent of possessions, and the Raptors enter this game as one of the five worst offensive teams in the league this season on a per-possession basis.

Why the Raptors can cover 

The Raptors are an elite defensive team, both in the past and in the early going of the 2020-21 season. Toronto is giving up only 1.06 points per possession this season, and the Raptors finished second in the NBA in defensive efficiency in 2019-20. Nick Nurse’s team is generating a turnover on 18.0 percent of possessions defensively, and the Raptors also rank in the top eight in shooting efficiency allowed. 

On the offensive side, the Raptors are searching for their baseline, but they have three potent scorers in Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam. In addition, the Celtics are not a strong defensive rebounding team, grabbing only 70.3 percent of defensive rebound opportunities, and Toronto could produce second-chance points using physicality and tenacity.

How to make Celtics vs. Raptors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with both teams projected to score 210 points combined. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Raptors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Raptors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.