A quarter of the way back to normal

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For the first time since the beginning of the pandemic, 50,000 travellers passed through screening at Canadian airports in a single day.

50,913 travellers (the total of Canada’s 15 largest airports) passed through airport screening on July 4th, 2021, at the tail end of the Canada Day long weekend.

The last time there were more than 50,000 flying in a single day ? March 17th, 2020. (5 days after the NHL suspended its season).

So what is ‘normal’ ? Prior to the pandemic, 150,000 to 175,000 travellers passing through Canada’s airports in a single day would be a typical number, on most days of the year.

This would balloon to somewhere in the 180,000 to 200,000 range during holiday periods and over the busier July/August summer travel season.

50,000 travellers on the Sunday of Canada Day Long Weekend equates to roughly ‘25% of normal’ for a pre-pandemic Canada Day Long Weekend.

25% of normal you say. That’s it? That’s something to note?

Well, compared to what we’ve seen since the start of the pandemic, over 475 days ago, it’s a pretty big deal for Canada’s airports.

Having glanced at the screened passenger data over at CATSA more than a few times during the pandemic, I can tell you that Canadian airports have been operating at a consistent ‘10% of normal’ levels during nearly all of the last 475 days (except around Christmas 2020 when it was closer to 20%).

Canadian airports have been ghost towns for about 16 months now.

This started to change in mid June, just over a few weeks ago, as numbers climbed up to ‘15% of normal’ around June 21st.

And then another large jump just a week and a half later on June 30th, when passenger levels started to hit ‘25% of normal’ for the July long weekend.

Will Canadian airports be back to 30%-40% of normal levels in July / August ?

50% by September?

Something tells me Canadian airport traffic numbers are going to be rising almost as fast as our ‘fully vaccinated’ numbers over the next few months.

Down in the U.S., our large neighbour to the south has had about a 3-4 month head start on us with their return to the skies.

How’s that going? Well, according to TSA numbers, they are back to roughly 75-80% of normal airport traffic levels.

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